Anthropic staff expect AI to do 75% of their work by 2030, survey finds
A new internal survey conducted in August 2026 reveals a significant gap in expectations between Anthropic employees and the general US public regarding AI's future impact. While both groups agree on current AI capabilities, Anthropic staff predict much faster progress. Specifically, 91% of staff expect AI to make a Nobel-level discovery by 2030, compared to only 39% of US adults. Staff also…
Key points
- 91% of Anthropic staff expect AI to make a Nobel-level discovery by 2030, versus 39% of US adults.
- Staff expect AI to perform 75% of their current work by 2030, compared to 28% for US workers.
- 95% of Anthropic staff predict company headcount will grow in the next 12 months, with a median expectation of 66% increase.
The survey highlights that staff perceive AI as a major productivity booster, with 59% reporting that AI reduces task time to a quarter or less, versus 26% of US workers using AI. Despite expecting high automation of their own roles, 95% of Anthropic staff believe the company’s headcount will grow in the next 12 months, with a median expectation of 66% growth. The study notes that both groups link higher personal job exposure to AI with higher forecasts for overall unemployment, suggesting a shared understanding of labor market dynamics despite differing views on capability speed.
An internal poll of Anthropic employees. What the future looks like from the inside.
anthropic.com · 16 October 2026
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