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AI tool improves subseasonal weather forecasts up to a month ahead

A new machine‑learning approach described in a Nature paper by Guan H. et al.

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Key points

  • Guan H. et al. present a machine‑learning tool for subseasonal weather forecasting in Nature 658, 951–957 (2026).
  • The paper is licensed under CC BY 4.0, with figures under CC BY‑NC‑ND 4.0.

The authors trained a model on historical atmospheric observations and report improved forecast skill compared with traditional dynamical methods for lead times from two weeks to a month. The paper references earlier work from 2018, 2019, 2023, and 2024, showing a growing research thread that applies deep learning to climate prediction. The article is released under a CC BY 4.0 licence, with figures under CC BY‑NC‑ND 4.0, allowing broad reuse while protecting the original visuals. Better subseasonal forecasts could help agriculture, water‑resource planning, and disaster preparedness by giving decision‑makers more reliable information a few weeks in advance.

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