Kevin Kelly predicts google’s main product will be ai by 2026
Kevin Kelly revisits the AI forecasts he made in his 2016 book The Inevitable. He points to a passage that claimed Google’s core offering would shift from search to artificial intelligence by 2026. Kelly recalls a 2002 conversation with co‑founder Larry Page, who replied, “Oh, we’re really making an AI,” and uses that anecdote to illustrate how Google has since acquired 13 AI and robotics firms,…
Key points
- Kelly predicted google’s main product would shift from search to ai by 2026.
- Google handles roughly 3 billion daily queries, using them to train its ai models.
- Kelly foresees a cloud‑based ai utility dominated by a few large firms.
Kelly argues that Google’s massive search volume—about 3 billion queries a day—feeds its deep‑learning models, turning every user interaction into training data. With 80 % of revenue still coming from search, the company can leverage this data loop to build an unrivaled AI. He envisions a future where a few cloud‑based AI services dominate, resembling Amazon Web Services: cheap, reliable, and largely invisible, providing answers on demand at nanocent costs. The piece ends with a warning that most AI will be narrow, purpose‑built software rather than general‑purpose agents.
The article is an opinion piece reflecting on past predictions and their implications for the AI landscape.
Kevin Kelly's 2016 AI Predictions, 10 Years Later
taylor.town · 12 October 2026Loading the full article…
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1source- Hacker News discussion · 206 pointsnews.ycombinator.com
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