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TW3Cast reaches third on GIFT‑Eval benchmark

TW3Cast is a time‑series forecasting system that achieved the third position out of 130 entries on the GIFT‑Eval benchmark as of 2026‑09‑14. The system does not use agents or language models; instead it relies on a frozen routing table built once on the training split. The table selects among four modes for each of 97 dataset‑frequency‑horizon configurations: a specialist (a LoRA or full…

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Key points

  • TW3Cast ranks third on GIFT‑Eval with a mean MASE rank of 19.4
  • It uses a frozen routing table selecting among specialists, blends, and tournaments
  • The system relies on lightly fine‑tuned Chronos‑2, TiRex, and Toto models

The best base model alone scores a mean MASE rank of 33.8, the tournament alone 38.0, and the full router 19.4. All routing tables, expert indices, and score files are released, allowing others to regenerate the leaderboard numbers with a single script.

Read the original at arXiv cs.AI · by Nathan Thierry, Andre-Louis Rochet primary sourceOpen source ↗
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Chronos‑2TiRexToto

The headline, key points and digest above were generated by Digest AI's editorial model from the linked sources. Automated summaries can contain errors: the sources are the record. Spotted a mistake? Tell us. Published by Martin K., who runs Digest AI and handles corrections.

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