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Jack Clark says singularity has begun, citing AI test scores

Jack Clark delivered the Per Jacobsson lecture at an IMF meeting in Bangkok on Saturday the 17th of October. He argued that AI is already entering the singularity, pointing to rapid gains on benchmark exams. The "Humanity’s Last Exam" launched in January 2025 saw top AI scores rise from 8% to 67.7% for Claude Opus 5.5, while the FrontierMath test released in November 2024 jumped from 2% to 94%…

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Key points

  • Claude Opus 5.5 scored 67.7% on Humanity’s Last Exam, up from 8% in January 2025
  • FrontierMath scores rose from 2% at launch to 94% for top AI systems
  • TheoPhysEval paper showed GPT‑6‑Astra reaching 98% (49/50) after correcting expert answers

Clark highlighted a recent TheoPhysEval paper with 50 unpublished theoretical‑physics questions, where GPT‑6‑Astra initially scored in the late eighties and ultimately achieved 98% (49/50) after correcting expert answers. He also noted that Anthropic researchers now produce almost 10 times the amount of code compared with the company’s first four years. The speech warned that such scientific capability could accelerate economic growth—potentially pushing US GDP to 44 trillion by 2030—but also raise security and governance risks.

The talk called for governments to expand electricity, data‑center, and robotic infrastructure, and to craft rules that balance rapid progress with safety, especially in fields like biology and cybersecurity.

Model pages: Claude Opus 5.5 → · GPT-6-Astra →

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Full story from Import AI · by Jack ClarkOpen source ↗

Import AI 477: In which I tell the IMF the Singularity has begun

Import AI · 19 October 2026

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This text was published by Import AI and written by Jack Clark. It is reproduced here with attribution so you can read it in full; the rights remain with the publisher. Read it at the source ↗

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